Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for HARVEY-17
in United States

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HARVEY-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2017-000123-USA
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 500 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (26 Aug 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 185 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 213 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 210000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 17 Aug 2017 15:00 120 2.7 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 2 17 Aug 2017 21:00 111 4 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 3 18 Aug 2017 03:00 111 2.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 4 18 Aug 2017 09:00 111 2.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 5 18 Aug 2017 15:00 111 4.3 million No people Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Grenada, Barbados, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 6 18 Aug 2017 21:00 111 2.6 million No people Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 7 19 Aug 2017 03:00 102 3.5 million No people Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 8 19 Aug 2017 09:00 102 3.2 million No people Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 9 19 Aug 2017 15:00 111 2.6 million No people Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 10 19 Aug 2017 21:00 83 2.7 million No people Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 11 20 Aug 2017 03:00 56 580 thousand No people Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Barbados
Green 12 23 Aug 2017 15:00 111 14.7 million No people Mexico, United States, Grenada, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados
Green 13 23 Aug 2017 21:00 111 5.1 million No people Mexico, United States, Saint Lucia, Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados
Green 14 24 Aug 2017 03:00 120 4.6 million No people Mexico, United States, Saint Lucia, Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados
Green 15 24 Aug 2017 09:00 139 6.8 million 440 thousand United States
Green 16 24 Aug 2017 15:00 185 13.4 million 210 thousand United States

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 17 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.1, -54.1
GREEN
2 17 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13, -55.8
GREEN
3 18 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 290000 people 13, -57.4 Barbados
GREEN
4 18 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 500000 people 13.1, -59.1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
5 18 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 290000 people 13.1, -61.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
6 18 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.4, -62.9
GREEN
7 19 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.7, -64.1
GREEN
8 19 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.8, -65.9
GREEN
9 19 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.9, -68.1
GREEN
10 19 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.1, -70
GREEN
11 20 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.3, -71.8
GREEN
12 23 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.5, -92.5
GREEN
13 23 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.6, -92.6
GREEN
14 24 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.9, -92.6
GREEN
15 24 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 23.2, -92.8
GREEN
16 24 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24, -93.3
GREEN
16 25 Aug 2017 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 160000 people 24.9, -94.2 Mexico
GREEN
16 25 Aug 2017 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 4.9 million people 26, -95.3 Mexico
GREEN
16 26 Aug 2017 00:00 Category 3 185 170000 people 12.8 million people 27.3, -96.3 United States
GREEN
16 26 Aug 2017 12:00 Category 2 176 210000 people 10.5 million people 28.3, -97 United States
GREEN
16 27 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 4 million people 29, -97.7 United States
GREEN
16 28 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 970000 people 28.5, -97.5 United States
GREEN
16 29 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 28.5, -96.5 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province Country
Texas United States

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Port Lavaca Texas United States City 12000 people
Victoria Texas United States City 61000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mustang Island 3 0
Mustang Beach 2 0
San Jose Island 3 0
Aransas Natl Wldlife Refuge 3 0
Aransas Pass 1 0
Jbh Aerospace 5 0
Coastal Bend Hospital 3 0
Air Logistics 2 0
T P Mc Campbell 5 0
Aransas County RKP 8 Civ. Paved Yes 5600
Port O'connor Base (Ehi) 2 0
Kalt Ranch 5 0
Magee 11 0
Hunt 12 0
Big Duke's Place 2 0
Whatley Flying Service 6 0
Tanner's 5 0
Cig 804 7 0
Gulf Coast 11 0
Cig 806 7 0
Mellon Ranch 12 0
Calhoun County 10 0
Green Lake Ranch 15 0
Rooke Field RFG 17 Civ. Paved No 4500
Citizens Medical Center 29 0
County - Foster VCT 35 Civ. Paved Yes 9100
Victoria Bank & Trust Motor Garage 35 0
Ball 38 0
Goliad Nalf 99 0
Lempa 75 0
Porter Ranch 127 0
Yorktown 73 0
Karnes County 89 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Port Aransas Wake Island
Port Ingleside Wake Island
Ingleside Wake Island
Rockport Wake Island
Point Comfort USPCR Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Coleto Creek Dam Coleto Creek 1980

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Estes, United States. This height is estimated for 26 Aug 2017 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (91 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 26 Aug 2017 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Aug 2017 05:00 Estes United States  1.6
26 Aug 2017 05:00 Rockport United States  1.6
26 Aug 2017 05:00 Shell Ridge United States  1.6
26 Aug 2017 05:00 Copano Village United States  1.6
26 Aug 2017 05:00 Fulton United States  1.6
26 Aug 2017 05:00 Spanish Village United States  1.6
26 Aug 2017 04:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 04:00 Port Ingleside United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 04:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 04:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 04:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 04:00 Aransas Pass United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 03:00 Mustang Beach United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 03:00 Port Aransas United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 05:00 Port O'Connor United States  1.4
26 Aug 2017 02:00 Palacios United States  1.3
26 Aug 2017 07:00 Matagorda United States  1.0
26 Aug 2017 00:00 Chinquapin United States  0.7
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Flake United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Elmgrove United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Nadeau United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Texas City United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Virginia Point United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Fort Travis United States  0.6
26 Aug 2017 15:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.5
25 Aug 2017 17:00 South Padre Island United States  0.5
26 Aug 2017 07:00 Gulf Park United States  0.5
26 Aug 2017 23:00 Intracoastal City United States  0.5
26 Aug 2017 07:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.5
26 Aug 2017 07:00 Freeport United States  0.5
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Patton United States  0.5
25 Aug 2017 17:00 Hoskins United States  0.5
26 Aug 2017 00:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.5
25 Aug 2017 17:00 Mims United States  0.5
25 Aug 2017 17:00 Hoskins United States  0.5
25 Aug 2017 17:00 Port Morris United States  0.5
26 Aug 2017 14:00 High Island United States  0.5
27 Aug 2017 00:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 14:00 Caplen United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 14:00 Gilchrist United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 19:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.4
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 19:00 Quintana United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 19:00 Surfside United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 19:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 20:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 19:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 16:00 Sea Isle United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Constance Beach United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Cameron United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 19:00 Galveston United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Oak Grove United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Gordy United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 South Bend United States  0.4
26 Aug 2017 22:00 Ellerstie United States  0.4
25 Aug 2017 17:00 Yarborough United States  0.3
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.3
25 Aug 2017 14:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
25 Aug 2017 14:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.3
25 Aug 2017 14:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.3
25 Aug 2017 14:00 Port Isabel United States  0.3
25 Aug 2017 22:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
25 Aug 2017 22:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.2
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2017 16:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2017 17:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2017 16:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 16:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 15:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2017 02:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 20:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 19:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 19:00 Progreso Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 19:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 19:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2017 19:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1